Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.943314 1.088673 1.245589 1.427153 1.631015 1.852402 2.110556
2024-12-29 0.757110 0.965828 1.210378 1.516121 1.886018 2.316841 2.854188
2025-01-05 0.594371 0.828090 1.122109 1.514623 2.019785 2.642494 3.461840
2025-01-12 0.475061 0.716291 1.039461 1.496156 2.115654 2.916364 4.017281
2025-01-19 0.389661 0.631320 0.973906 1.482994 2.205825 3.178738 4.566993
2025-01-26 0.335865 0.580406 0.944915 1.510888 2.346696 3.511074 5.225124
2025-02-02 0.290607 0.533792 0.913723 1.528048 2.468343 3.819553 5.864721
2025-02-09 0.251964 0.490742 0.880843 1.536072 2.572846 4.105711 6.485259
2025-02-16 0.225468 0.463486 0.868536 1.572606 2.720139 4.459941 7.221234
2025-02-23 0.199135 0.431970 0.844487 1.585949 2.829499 4.760813 7.891335
2025-03-02 0.167247 0.384585 0.786674 1.535545 2.829850 4.891030 8.305656
2025-03-09 0.153949 0.371250 0.787582 1.585331 2.997329 5.290668 9.155059
2025-03-16 0.139541 0.353837 0.779730 1.620202 3.144670 5.670967 10.002006
2025-03-23 0.132509 0.351133 0.799694 1.707663 3.389364 6.224202 11.155542
2025-03-30 0.116514 0.325669 0.771546 1.701765 3.467734 6.504795 11.878467
2025-04-06 0.101232 0.298939 0.737195 1.679829 3.514119 6.732027 12.522074
2025-04-13 0.088637 0.276230 0.708134 1.664738 3.570531 6.977353 13.204899
2025-04-20 0.081035 0.264786 0.702052 1.695340 3.714492 7.382188 14.176862
2025-04-27 0.073452 0.251908 0.691031 1.714209 3.836335 7.752737 15.104560
2025-05-04 0.066089 0.238148 0.676135 1.723039 3.938304 8.091402 15.989752
2025-05-11 0.061300 0.230890 0.675783 1.763347 4.105303 8.556382 17.117451
2025-05-18 0.055629 0.219790 0.664556 1.778065 4.220625 8.930075 18.095597
2025-05-25 0.047310 0.198402 0.624381 1.722442 4.185778 9.018353 18.557807